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Currency, gold and index moves and the data behind them, from the market desks the industry reads. Updated 6 Sep 2026.
Iran's latest warning puts oil supplies and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz back in focus for traders. Crude oil is the most direct market to watch, followed by gold and stock-index futures. Bitcoin and Ethereum can provide an earlier weekend indication of risk appetite, although their movements cannot reliably...
OCBC's Christopher Wong notes that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) kept the OPR at 2.75% and struck a slightly firmer tone, with growth expected to stay resilient into 2027. The economist still projects an OPR normalisation to 3.00% in January 2027.
The Mexican Peso appreciates against the US Dollar, testing two-year highs near 16.85 as the USD/MXN sets aside a strong US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which was ignored by the Peso's bears.
Commerzbank highlights that Bank Negara Malaysia kept the OPR at 2.75% but shifted to a more hawkish bias, removing language that policy is "appropriate" and signalling vigilance on cost pressures.
The USD/CHF registers modest gains of over 0.30% as the Greenback is boosted by a solid US Nonfarm Payrolls report, pushing the pair above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) to reach a daily high of 0.8126. At the time of writing, trades at 0.8098.
OCBC's Christopher Wong notes that USD/IDR has pulled back as a softer Dollar and lower UST yields support the Indonesian Rupiah. He highlights Bank Indonesia Governor Destry Damayanti's emphasis on a stability-first approach, prioritizing Rupiah and macro stability while still supporting growth.
Trump: Witkoff and Kushner will bring proposal to Putin to end the war Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is sounding decidedly hawkish on monetary policy Trump tells Fed: Lower the rate or I'll stop trading with countries with which we have a deficit Canada Employment change for August -41,7K vs 15.0K estimate US...
Commerzbank says China's August Services PMI rebound highlights some resilience in private-sector activity, but weak retail sales, soft inflation and higher unemployment still point to fragile domestic demand.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) retreats some 0.09% against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday as the latest US inflation report reaffirmed Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh's view that the labor market is "consistent with full employment." GBP/USD trades near the open at 1.3512.
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng notes that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) held the Overnight Policy Rate at 2.75% while dropping language that the current level is appropriate. DBS expects rates to remain unchanged through 2026 but sees risks tilted towards a one-off policy normalisation.
OCBC's Christopher Wong notes that strong foreign-currency inflows linked to the RBI's special measures have bolstered the Indian Rupee (INR) and strengthened the central bank's FX buffer.
President Trump is trying to solve a difficult economic problem in the beef market and in the process is creating another problem (nothing new honestly). US ranchers have been slaughtering cattle faster than they are rebuilding their herds. That has pushed the cattle supply to a 75-year low and sent beef prices higher...
Nordea expects Eurozone inflation dynamics to stay persistent, with headline inflation projected above the ECB's target at least until spring 2027.
Trump confirms that Kushner and Witkoff are headed to Moscow and Kyiv this weekend with a new proposal to end the war. We will have to see where that leads. Trump also says they may hit Pickaxe mountain very soon. Pickaxe Mountain is a heavily fortified underground nuclear facility being built by Iran inside the...
Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack said on Friday that the current monetary policy stance is not restrictive, emphasizing that inflation is too high.
ING's Muhammet Mercan notes the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) has normalised liquidity via weekly repo auctions, bringing effective funding costs down to the 37% policy rate.
AUD/USD resumes its advance on Friday after a brief bout of weakness following a stronger-than-expected United States (US) employment report.
Gold (XAU/USD) price retreats by about 0.80% on Friday, after registering losses of over 2% following the release of an upbeat US jobs report.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just short of 53,400, roughly 325 points or 0.6% lower on Friday, after August Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) printed 162K against a 56K forecast at 12:30 GMT and pushed the probability of a September hike above 60%.
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $66.20 at the time of writing on Friday, down 1.18% on the day, after recovering part of its sharp post-Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) decline.
EUR/USD sees sharp two-way price swings on Friday after a stronger-than-expected United States (US) employment report triggers fresh volatility. The pair initially fell to an intraday low of 1.1585 before recovering as the US Dollar (USD) struggled to sustain its gains.
Commerzbank's Commodity Research team, led by Barbara Lambrecht, notes that uncertainty over crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz and conflicting transit data are clouding the outlook for Brent.
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.50% next week and then hold at that level for an extended period.
Here is the latest rant from the President following today's jobs report: Great jobs number just announced, breaking all estimates (except mine!) by double and triple - And you haven't seen anything yet! EMPLOYERS ADDED 162,000 JOB IN AUGUST. Lower the interest rates because the U.S.A. is a much stronger credit than...
It's the final countdown to jobs Friday with both the US and Canadian numbers due up at the bottom of the hour. USD/JPY remains in focus as it's now more than 100 pips from yesterday's low and we had some more turbulence in Asia. I would imagine macro traders avoid that pair in the aftermath of the report. Otherwise,...
Commerzbank's Dr. Christoph Balz expects the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged, but highlights a significant risk of another 25 bps hike.
MUFG's Michael Wan highlights a sharp strengthening in the Japanese Yen, with USD/JPY dropping from 160 to around 155.30 as the Dollar broadly weakened and Asian FX gained.
The US Dollar (USD) is marginally up on Friday ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.
Silver (XAG/USD) consolidates with marginal losses on Friday following back-to-back daily gains, as traders avoid taking large positions ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) holds minor losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as the USD/CAD pair trades just above 1.3800 after bouncing from two-week lows at 1.3765.
How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events? Eurozone retail sales fall in July as consumer spending softens Stop making this mistake when looking at the economic calendar What is the distribution of forecasts for the US NFP? USD/JPY bounces near the major 155.00 support; pullback or the start...
ING's Chris Turner notes that dovish comments from Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller have pushed US yields and the Dollar lower, while supporting equities and high-yielding FX.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally higher at around 0.7203 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair is broadly firm as the US Dollar remains under pressure, with traders reassessing Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate expectations.
Gold (XAU/USD) moves quietly on Friday after two straight days of gains, as traders appear reluctant to take fresh positions ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report at 12:30 GMT.
Rate hikes by year-end ECB: 46 bps (99% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 73 bps BoJ: 42 bps (75% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 111 bps Fed: 33 bps (50% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 46 bps RBA: 30 bps (69% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)...
The British Pound (GBP) has retreated from session highs just below 1.3550 against the US Dollar (USD) during the London trading session, returning to levels near 1.3520 and turning negative on the daily chart.
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said on Friday that monetary policymakers have some discretion over how quickly they bring inflation back to target, while stressing that returning inflation to the target remains imperative.
Commerzbank analysts Norman Liebke and Michael Pfister report that the Bank of Canada kept its policy rate at 2.25% but adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks rise from higher energy prices and trade tensions with the US.
Gold (XAU/USD) trades flat at the $4,470 area on Friday, as the previous two days' rebound from $4,280 failed to find acceptance above the $4,500 psychological area.
OCBC's Christopher Wong notes that the Dollar Index (DXY) has eased alongside lower UST yields after Fed Governor Waller signalled a preference to keep rates unchanged in September if disinflation persists.
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $66.67 per troy ounce, down 0.46% from the $66.98 it cost on Thursday.
Societe Generale strategists note that the Indian Rupee (INR) rallied to its strongest level against the US Dollar (USD) since late June, helped by active RBI intervention and sizeable FX mobilisation flows.
Full report here Retail sales in the Eurozone declined in July, pointing to softer consumer demand. The volume of retail trade fell by 0.6% m/m in July, reversing the 0.2% increase recorded in June. Across the broader European Union, retail sales declined by 0.4% after also rising 0.2% in the previous month. On an...
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, drops to near $88.65 while struggling to move above the $90 mark during the European trading session on Friday.
MUFG's Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has strengthened sharply, pushing USD/JPY back towards the 155.00 support level that has held several times this year.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that the British Pound (GBP) is vulnerable as global bond market pressure focuses on high-debt countries facing elections or budget talks.
Eurozone Retail Sales contracted at a 0.6% pace Month-on-Month (MoM) in June, while they were anticipated to rise by 0.3%. June's data revised higher to 0.2% from -0.3%.
ING's Chris Turner writes that EUR/USD is grinding higher as markets reverse the earlier sell-off triggered by Kevin Warsh's speech, with the pair moving back toward 1.1650. A softer Dollar backdrop versus EMFX and pro-growth G10 currencies supports the Euro.
The GBP/USD pair attracts some buyers for the second straight day, though it lacks follow-through and remains capped near mid-1.3500s through the early European session on Friday.
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August on Friday at 12:30 GMT.
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August on Friday at 12:30 GMT.
Commerzbank's Tatha Ghose highlights a sharp Forint rally after a Bloomberg report suggested the National Bank of Hungary may pause rate cuts on 22 September and consider lowering its inflation target. While unconfirmed, this aligns with the bank's less dovish August message.
The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reaction is the distribution of forecasts. In fact, although we can have a range of estimates, most forecasts might be...
The Euro (EUR) remains hovering between 1.1600 and 1.1630 against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, hardly affected by the release of a disappointing Eurozone Retail Sales report earlier in the day.
The Indian Rupee (INR) reflects strength against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, trading close to its two-month high of 94.29 posted the previous day.
The Indian Rupee (INR) jumps almost 1% higher against the US Dollar (USD) this week. On Friday, the USD/INR pair trades close to its two-month low of 94.29 posted the previous day.
RBNZ signals December, not October, for its next rate hike Diesel crunch, hot ISM data point to entrenched inflation risk: gold, equity risks JPMorgan flags a $103 bn yen short position, unwind could push USD/JPY to 142 Gold's week of whiplash sets up a payrolls-driven Friday PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for...
Japanese Household Spending July: -3.6% y/y, biggest drop since January 2024 expected -1.6% ,prior -3.3% --- September BOJ hike is near-fully priced (~87%), driven mainly by rising inflation and yields, not consumption strength. Weak household spending is a known, ongoing theme, not new information, and doesn't touch...
Deutsche Bank: The dollar is now leveraged to the AI race Vance: We're not talking to Iran unless they stop shooting at ships Preview: August non-farm payrolls by the numbers ISM non manufacturing PMI for August 55.4 versus 54.2 estimate. Stronger than expectations Feds Waller: Finally seeing some signs of...
Data due from South Korea, Japan and Singapore. These are not marked as priority items and unless something is way off expectations are unlikely to move markets too much upon release. This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.
Commerzbank's Singapore-based team highlights robust Singapore manufacturing and electronics PMIs, supported by an AI-driven semiconductor cycle, alongside upgraded MAS Survey GDP and export forecasts.
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see USD/CNH confined to tight ranges in different time frames. For the next 24 hours, they expect the Dollar to trade between 6.7130 and 6.7230.
The USD/CHF pair tumbles nearly 0.80% on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) weakens on rumors of a potential intervention in the FX markets to boost the Japanese Yen. Consequently, the pair fell from around daily highs of 0.8131, extending its losses to the current exchange rate near 0.8065.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, slides below 99.00 to its lowest level in over a week on Thursday. At the time of writing, DXY trades around 98.90, down 0.67% on the day, after reaching 99.86 on Wednesday.
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies more than 2% on Thursday following dovish comments by Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller, who advocated holding rates steady if inflation data shows the disinflation process continues.
ING's Warren Patterson says European gas prices have climbed above EUR70/MWh as lower Persian Gulf LNG supply and strong Asian spot buying cut EU LNG imports by about 16% year-on-year between April and July.
What's expected: Consensus estimate +56K (range -25K to +121K) July -23K June +63K Private consensus estimate +45K Unemployment rate consensus estimate: 4.1% vs 4.1% prior Participation rate consensus 61.4% prior Prior underemployment U6 prior 7.9% Avg hourly earnings y/y exp +3.0% y/y vs +3.2% prior Avg hourly...
HSBC's Willem Sels highlights that accelerating AI adoption, resilient growth and broadening earnings are supporting global equities into Q4 2026. The bank has recently added exposure to global stocks, favouring the US and Asia, while keeping sector diversification.
The US Dollar (USD) has added to Wednesday's pullback, receding to multi-day lows and breaching below its key 200-day SMA.
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights strong Japanese Yen flows and a declining USD/JPY as markets hesitate to challenge Japanese and U.S. authorities. He argues that heavy post-intervention selling has largely run its course and that around 160 in USD/JPY now acts as a practical intervention ceiling.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades on Thursday near 53,750, up 1.3% and on track for its strongest session since early August, after a Federal Reserve (Fed) governor said he would be inclined to support holding rates at the September 15-16 meeting if the inflation data due over the next
Bank of England (BoE) Chief Economist Huw Pill reiterated on Thursday his support for raising the Bank Rate to 4%, arguing that policymakers cannot wait for uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and energy prices to resolve before acting.
The Pound Sterling (GBP) rises against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday as Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller favors holding rates unchanged, shifting to a more neutral stance regarding monetary policy, while data showed that the US labor market is solid and that business activity impr
Societe Generale strategists highlight heavy USD/JPY turnover as the pair slid below its 200-day moving average, with leveraged accounts forced to cover shorts.
USD/JPY extends its decline for a second consecutive day and trades around 155.40 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 2.07% on the day.
Scotiabank's Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the Euro (EUR) is higher against the US Dollar (USD), supported by strong euro area Producer Price Index (PPI) and firmer European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations. Markets now price more than one 25bp hike by year-end.
EUR/USD attracts buyers on Thursday as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY), softer United States labour-market data and a pullback in US Treasury yields weigh on the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, EUR/USD trades around 1.1622, up roughly 0.30% on the day.
Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Swiss Franc (CHF) is the second-best performer today after the Japanese Yen as Swiss inflation surprised to the upside in August, reinforcing Swiss National Bank (SNB) hike expectations.
TD Securities' Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that speculation of currency intervention and less hawkish Federal Reserve commentary have supported precious metals, with Gold moving away from nearby CTA selling triggers.
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is modestly outperforming after a slightly hawkish Bank of Canada (BoC). Policy was left unchanged, but inflation risks were highlighted and December tightening is fully priced.
MUFG's Derek Halpenny highlights renewed Japanese Yen strength as markets price in more Bank of Japan hikes following recent comments from Takata and Ueda.
ING's Warren Patterson revises Oil forecasts higher, highlighting tight Brent and refined product markets as Persian Gulf exports remain around half of pre-war levels.
USD/CHF comes under selling pressure on Thursday as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs broadly on the US Dollar (USD), while the Swiss Franc (CHF) draws support from stronger-than-expected inflation and growth data.
While speaking at the Reuters NEXT Newsmaker event in Washington, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday that if August Consumer Price Index data confirms inflation pressures are cooling off, he is inclined to support holding the policy rate steady at the September policy meeti
AUD/USD advances on Thursday, trading around 0.7215 at the time of writing, up 0.45% on the day.
Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad observes USD/CAD is testing key support at 1.3800, where a break could open further downside. The Bank of Canada (BoC) delivered a hawkish hold, keeping rates at 2.25% but warning about increased upside inflation risks.
TD Securities' macro team, including Pooja Kumra, expects the ECB to raise the deposit rate by 25bp to 2.50% in September. They see limited forward guidance, with the Governing Council reiterating its data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach.
The US trade deficit widened significantly in July, with a sharp increase in imports and a decline in exports that could weigh on economic growth in the third quarter. The goods and services deficit rose to $88.6 billion in July from $71.2 billion in June. The increase was driven primarily by a surge in goods imports,...
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 206K for the week ending August 29.
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that Eurozone assets remain supported by steady composite PMI readings and improving signs in German demand, while speculation over ECB leadership succession grows.
Headlines: USD/JPY extends fall today in drop back below 158, what's next? Bond yields pull back from the highs as focus turns to US jobs report next WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis: Bears Favored Below $90 Gold upside remains limited by Fed rate hike risks and Iran war; traders await US CPI for next direction Nasdaq's...
GBP/JPY extends its steep decline on Thursday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens sharply across the board for the second consecutive day. The cross fell 1.13% on Wednesday and is down around 1.60% at the time of writing, trading near 210.60, its lowest level in a month.
Commerzbank's Michael Pfister highlights renewed weakness in the Japanese Yen as USD/JPY repeatedly breaks above 160 despite record FX interventions.
The Euro (EUR) is up 0.2% to near 1.1610 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
The US Dollar (USD), as measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY), is showing signs of floor-building following a volatile month, as the heavy hedging pressure triggered by a dovish reading of the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting subsides.
ING's James Knightley argues Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech has shifted the Federal Reserve's reaction function toward a September rate hike, even though ING's macro projections suggest the Fed could wait.
According to the latest Reuters poll, the 65 economists surveyed have favored that the European Central Bank (ECB) will raise the deposit rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50%.
Crude prices resumed their upside trend on Thursday after some hesitation on Wednesday, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate reaching session highs a few cents below $91.00 per barrel, almost 10% up on the week so far.
Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is softer mainly against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc, with Brent Oil nearing $100.
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rebound on Thursday after slipping below $4,300 to a nearly four-week low on the previous day. A sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs on the US Dollar (USD), helping the precious metal regain ground.
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rebound on Thursday after slipping below $4,300 to a nearly four-week low on the previous day. A sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs on the US Dollar (USD), while a pullback in US Treasury yields provides additional support to the precious metal.
Gold (XAU/USD) extends its rebound on Thursday after slipping below $4,300 to a nearly four-week low on the previous day. A sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighs on the US Dollar (USD), while a pullback in US Treasury yields provides additional support to the precious metal.
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is up 0.16% at around 0.5860 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday.
EUR/JPY falls sharply on Thursday and trades around 181.40 at the time of writing, down 1.37% on the day. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens significantly against the Euro (EUR), supported by renewed warnings from Japanese authorities over foreign exchange market moves.
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading higher on Thursday, returning to levels above $4.400 after bouncing from three-week lows near $4,280 on Wednesday.
Societe Generale strategists note Swiss August Consumer Price Index (CPI) and second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) surprised to the upside, triggering profit-taking in EUR/CHF and USD/CHF but leaving Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy expectations unchanged.
The Euro (EUR) extends gains against a weaker British Pound (GBP) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, following downward revisions of both the Eurozone and UK Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures.
Derek Halpenny at MUFG notes the Canadian Dollar's (CAD) immediate advance after the Bank of Canada left rates unchanged at 2.25% but signalled greater concern over inflation.
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $65.88 per troy ounce, up 0.87% from the $65.31 it cost on Wednesday.
Japan's top currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura reiterates on Thursday that authorities remain ready to act in the foreign exchange market, as Tokyo continues to closely monitor currency moves.
Commerzbank's Tatha Ghose notes that NBP Governor Adam Glapinski used G20 remarks to shift towards a more neutral, flexible stance, avoiding earlier dovish hints of imminent rate cuts. With August CPI surprising hawkishly and the Zloty underperforming CE3 peers, the bank is seen on the back foot.
USD/JPY extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 156.80 during the European hours on Thursday.
United Overseas Bank's (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report AUD/USD dipped to 0.7122 before a strong rebound to 0.7176, leaving intraday price action in a 0.7140 - 0.7180 range. Downward momentum is fading and a break above 0.7190 would confirm 0.7120 is out of reach.
On Thursday, we'll get the latest read on the US service sector when the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) publishes its August gauge. Consensus points to a marginal improvement to 54.3 from July's 54.1.
On Thursday, we'll get the latest read on the US service sector when the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) publishes its August gauge. Consensus points to a marginal improvement to 54.3 from July's 54.1.
Fresh data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the Services PMI improving to 55.4 in August from 54.1 in the previous month, coming in above prior estimates at 54.3 and signalling further pickup of momentum in the sector.
Chris Turner at ING notes that a near 1% drop in USD/JPY within minutes, followed by another slide, sparked talk of renewed Japanese intervention after the Bank of Japan's earlier $96 billion sales.
Silver price (XAG/USD) struggles to extend Wednesday's strong recovery move above $66.25 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal could remain sideways as investors await the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, which will be released on Friday.
Dow Jones futures gain by 0.18% to trade near 53,220 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures advance by 0.16% to trade near 7,690, while Nasdaq 100 futures inch higher by 0.03% to trade around 29,200.
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that the July FOMC-driven Dollar hedging impulse has largely run its course, with early signs of USD buying returning against EUR, MXN and CAD.
A quick catch-up of the PMI prints that we got for today: Spain August services PMI: 57.8 (previously 58.3) Spain August composite PMI: 55.8 (previously 56.5) Italy August services PMI: 55.2 (previously 52.5) Italy August composite PMI: 53.6 (previously 52.5) France August final services PMI: 48.0 (previously 49.6)...
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, consolidates in a tight range around $88.85 during the European trading session on Thursday.
Danske Research Team reports that EUR/USD is around the 1.16 level while European government bond yields continue to climb and US yields show a mixed pattern.
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that a sharp USD/JPY move briefly weighed on the Dollar, but only Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar held gains.
USD/CAD extends its losses for the second consecutive day. trading around 1.3820 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is positioned within the descending channel pattern, signalling a bearish bias.
Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid notes that US equities stabilised after three consecutive declines, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.46% as strength in the Magnificent Seven, particularly Nvidia and Meta, supported the market.
The Swiss Franc (CHF) accelerated its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday's early European session, as Swiss inflation and economic growth data beat expectations.
The NZD/USD pair posts modest gains around 0.5855 during the early European trading hours on Thursday, supported by stronger-than-expected Chinese economic data. Attention will shift to the US August employment data, which will be released later on Friday.
Switzerland August CPI +0.4% vs 0.0% m/m expected (Prior -0.1%) Switzerland August CPI +0.8% vs +0.5% y/y expected (Prior +0.4%) Switzerland August core CPI +0.4% y/y (Prior +0.3%) The surge in petrol prices was the key factor driving up Swiss inflation in August, with that seen 25% higher compared to the same month a...
The USD/JPY pair remains under intense selling pressure for the second straight day and plummets to a nearly four-week low, around the 157.25-157.20 region during the early European session on Thursday.
Stock markets in the Asian region demonstrate a mixed performance as investors shift their focus to the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, which will be released on Friday.
Commerzbank's Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao highlight a sharp rebound in the Japanese Yen, with USD/JPY dropping around 150 pips as markets react to increasingly hawkish Bank of Japan guidance and intervention speculation.
The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges down against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, following a narrowing trade surplus in Australia and fairly positive PMI data from China, a key trading partner.
United Overseas Bank's (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD has shifted into short-term range trading between 1.1570 and 1.1610 after a dip to 1.1565 and rebound to 1.1608. They still see scope for a test of 1.1550 unless 1.1630 strong resistance breaks.
The GBP/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.3490 during the early European trading hours on Thursday, bolstered by a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders await the Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech and US August jobs data later on Friday for fresh impetus.
The Euro (EUR) trades slightly higher against the US Dollar (USD) at around 1.1600 during the early European trading session on Thursday.
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens strongly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending the rally to near 94.28.
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens strongly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending the rally to near 94.28.
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens strongly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending the rally to near 94.28.
The Indian Rupee (INR) trades strongly against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, extending the rally to near 94.28.
USD/IDR loses ground for the second successive day, trading around 17,730 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair experiences downward pressure as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighed heavily on the US Dollar (USD).
As we get into the second half of the week, the bond market continues to be a key spot to watch. The big story this week is how bond yields have surged to multi-year highs globally, with some even hitting multi-decade highs. In case you missed it: The tectonic shift that is taking place in the bond market The moves in...
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.40 in the early European trading hours on Thursday. The DXY faces some selling pressure while US Treasury yields slipped from multi-year highs.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) - the benchmark US Crude Oil price - struggles to capitalize on a modest Asian session uptick and currently trades just above the $89.00 mark, unchanged for the day.
Gold prices rose in India on Thursday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
EUR/JPY extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 183.00 during the Asian hours on Thursday. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross remains within a symmetrical triangle, signalling a consolidation phase.
The GBP/JPY cross remains under intense selling pressure for the second straight day and drops to a three-and-a-half-week low, around the 212.75-212.70 region during the Asian session on Thursday.
Yen extends gains below 157.80 as BOJ hawks and less hawkish Fed voices collide WSJ reports Trump privately weighs declaring Iran war over (50,000 troops to keep options open) China's RatingDog services PMI beats strongly as domestic demand offsets soft export growth Oil popping higher as Kuwait reports missile and...
Gold (XAU/USD) is seen building on the previous day's goodish recovery from the $4,282 area, or a nearly four-week low, and gaining some follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday.
Gold (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day's goodish recovery from a nearly four-week low, and attracts some follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Thursday.
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its bid tone heading into the European session on Thursday, though it remains below $4,450 amid mixed fundamental cues.
USD/CAD extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3830 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair experiences downward pressure as a sharp rally in the Japanese Yen (JPY) weighed heavily on the US Dollar (USD).
Silver price (XAG/USD) extends its Wednesday recovery move on Thursday, trading 0.67% higher at around $65.70 during the European trading session. The white metal strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) declines further due to moderate job demand in the United States (US) private sector.
The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers to near 158.15 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) following hints from Japanese policymakers that interest rates will rise later this month.
US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is extending troop deployment timelines across the Middle East, signaling the conflict could drag into 2027, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday.
AUD/JPY extends its losses for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 113.50 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) remains subdued following a wave of mixed economic data from Australia and China, putting downward pressure on the currency cross.
The NZD/USD pair recovers some lost ground to near 0.5860, snapping the four-day losing streak during the early Asian session on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) following the upbeat Chinese economic data.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price rebounds after registering losses in the previous day, trading around $89.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. Crude oil prices advance as investors assessed renewed hostilities in the Middle East alongside efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Today's RatingDog services beat completes the week's China data set and reinforces the pattern already seen in the manufacturing PMIs, private and export oriented surveys running hotter than the state weighted official readings. This divergence is worth tracking rather than resolving in either direction, since it...
The GBP/USD pair consolidates below the 1.3500 psychological mark during the Asian session on Thursday and remains close to a three-week low, touched the previous day.
The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1590 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The potential upside for the major pair might be limited amid hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and escalating conflict in the Middle East.
The combination of stronger growth and near record cost pass through is the key signal here for BOJ policy watchers, and Fiddes explicitly linked the data to a strengthening case for another rate hike. This is a yen supportive data point on its face, since it reinforces the narrative of accelerating domestic inflation...
US President Donald Trump said that while the US is prepared to strike Iran again at any time, he doesn't expect the renewed fighting to last "too long," Reuters reported on Wednesday.
AUD/NZD spent Wednesday pushing at a ceiling that has held since 2013, running from near 1.2100 to a high short of 1.2300 and trading just above 1.2250 into the European afternoon.
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a nearly one-month low to around $4,385 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher as the US Dollar (USD) and Treasury yields retreat from recent highs.
The Pound Sterling collapses versus the Japanese Yen as growing "speculation" of an intervention in the FX markets witnessed the Yen appreciating versus most G8 FX currencies. The GBP/JPY trades with losses of more than 1.10%, at 214.08.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) raised its policy rate on Wednesday and the currency fell almost 1.7% from top to bottom on the day it happened.
The Australian Dollar advanced on Wednesday versus the US Dollar after economic data in the US revealed the labour market weakened slightly, while the Greenback dipped on intervention speculation in the FX markets.
The Yen had its best session in weeks on Wednesday and it still looks like a losing position.
Sterling has spent Wednesday handing back the last of its August rally, with GBP/USD trading just under 1.3500 after a session low a shade beneath 1.3475.
The USD/CHF pair advances some 0.13% on Wednesday as the Greenback holds within familiar levels, after depreciating versus the Japanese Yen amid speculation of an intervention in the FX markets. This dragged the pair from around five-week highs to the 0.8120 area.
US stocks rise as small caps lead the gains EURUSD Technicals: Traders have done their ABCs in trading the EURUSD today. What do I mean? Fed Beige Book: Modest growth, moderate inflation The political headlines are fast and furious coming out of Washington Bitcoin technicals: The price of bitcoin is back below the...
The data release of note due today, Thursday, September 3, 2026, from the Asian timezone is the private sector services PMI survey from Rating Dog / S&P. Look back recap: this week's China PMI data Monday brought the official NBS releases for August. The Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, up from 49.2 in July and...
Gold (XAU/USD) price rises over 1% on Wednesday as the Greenback softens amid speculation of an intervention to bolster the Japanese Yen (JPY), while US Treasury yields hold firm after weak US jobs data. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD pair trades at $4,373.
Commerzbank highlights that South Korea's export boom and a large trade surplus, combined with a hawkish Bank of Korea, are supportive for the Korean Won. They argue that changing FX flow dynamics should allow more of the surplus to translate into KRW strength.
US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the renewed campaign against Iran "won't continue for too long," adding that he is prepared to launch another attack on Iran.
There is a slew of headlines coming out of Washington as the Trump administration fights fires on multiple fronts. From beef prices to Chinese subsidies, Venezuelan oil, AI data centers and the bond market, officials are offering explanations, defending policies and touting hopes for what comes next. The common...
Just a little satire....; ) Trump on Truth Social is now posting: Now that we have it under U.S.A. control, should we change the name Hormuz Strait to TRUMP STRAIT??? Like America itself, it would be "hotter" than ever before! Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP Why so limited? It is...
Headlines: The tectonic shift that is taking place in the bond market Gold futures are down more than 8%: Is the next dip-buying opportunity approaching? S&P 500 breaks through a major support as hawkish Fed expectations and US-Iran war weigh Wall Street poised for another soft start as higher bond yields continue to...
Another day, another story about vessels being struck down in the Strait of Hormuz. That as Iran continues to send a message that if the US continues to escalate tensions, they will hit back at where it hurts most. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is out again claiming that another two oil tankers have...
What is happening in the bond market in the past week is something that every trader and investor should stand up and take notice. While there is still a heavy focus on the US-Iran conflict, the stock market and AI, as well as central banks, the bond market might well be sending a big message to broader markets at the...
EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than a couple of low-tier releases like Spain's unemployment change and Italy's PPI. The data won't change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will be muted. As a reminder, the ECB is widely expected to hike at the upcoming...
RBNZ chief says rate settings still accommodative despite hikes Asian stocks slide as Iran conflict fuels oil and bond yield worries Australia Q2 GDP beats at 0.4%, keeps September rate hike in play RBNZ lifts OCR to 2.75%, says gradual tightening reduces risk of bigger hikes later BOJ hawk Takata says nimble rate...
The stronger than expected GDP print has pushed market pricing for a September RBA hike to 57 percent, up from 48 percent beforehand, while a November move remains more than fully priced. AUD/USD ticked higher on the release, trading above 0.7150, as the beat on both quarterly and annual growth reinforced the case for...
Australian Q2 GDP 0.4% q/q for a beat expected 0.3%, prior 0.3% 2.1% y/y, beat expected 1.8%, prior 2.5% Just the numbers this post. I'll have more to come on this separately, details and implications. Added, here is more: Australia Q2 GDP beats at 0.4%, keeps September rate hike in play In brief AUD should get a...
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